Investment strategies

Distribution Waterfall

A distribution waterfall defines how fund proceeds are split between LPs and the GP (return of capital, preferred return, carry). Allocators focus on timing risk: early carry distributions increase reliance on clawbacks and escrow discipline.

A Distribution Waterfall is the fund’s rulebook for allocating proceeds among LPs and the GP: returning capital, paying preferred return (if any), and distributing carried interest. Waterfalls determine not just economics, but governance risk — because they shape when carry is paid relative to final fund outcomes.

From an allocator lens, the waterfall is an alignment architecture: it exposes whether the GP earns carry only after LP outcomes are secured — or earlier, increasing the need for clawbacks and safeguards.

How allocators define waterfall risk drivers

Allocators evaluate waterfalls through:

  • Structure type: European (whole-fund) vs American (deal-by-deal)
  • Preferred return: rate, compounding, and catch-up mechanics
  • Catch-up design: speed and magnitude of GP catch-up tiers
  • Carry timing: when carry can be paid vs final fund certainty
  • Clawback dependence: how much protection relies on clawback
  • Escrow/holdback: presence and sufficiency of security mechanisms
  • Expense treatment: what is netted before waterfalls apply
  • Transparency: reporting on distributions, unrealized risk, and true-up logic

Allocator framing:
“How early does the GP get paid — and what protects LPs if outcomes reverse?”

Where waterfalls matter most

  • high-volatility strategies where later losses are plausible
  • funds distributing early carry through deal-by-deal structures
  • strategies with leverage or complex valuation marks
  • managers with limited escrow/holdback practice

How waterfall design changes outcomes

Strong waterfall design:

  • reduces timing mismatch between GP economics and LP certainty
  • lowers reliance on clawbacks and end-of-fund disputes
  • improves governance trust and re-up momentum

Weak waterfall design:

  • accelerates GP economics before fund outcomes are secured
  • increases clawback exposure and enforcement risk
  • creates allocator friction in IC approvals

How allocators evaluate alignment

Conviction increases when managers:

  • use whole-fund distribution logic where appropriate
  • pair early-carry structures with strong escrow/holdback protections
  • disclose how unrealized marks influence carry timing
  • provide clear scenarios showing clawback exposure under stress

What slows allocator decision-making

  • fast catch-up tiers with early carry distribution
  • heavy reliance on clawbacks without escrow
  • unclear expense netting and reporting
  • confusing language that obscures timing risk

Common misconceptions

  • “European is always better.” → strategy context matters, but timing risk differs.
  • “Clawback solves early carry.” → only if it is collectible.
  • “Waterfall is just economics.” → it’s governance plus incentives.

Key allocator questions during diligence

  • Is the waterfall whole-fund or deal-by-deal?
  • When can carry be paid relative to remaining unrealized risk?
  • How is preferred return calculated and compounded?
  • What protections exist (clawback, escrow/holdback)?
  • What does clawback exposure look like in a down scenario?

Key Takeaways

  • Waterfalls determine alignment and timing risk
  • Early carry increases reliance on clawback + escrow discipline
  • Clear disclosure reduces allocator friction