Investment strategies

Reference Checks

Reference checks validate a manager through third parties to understand behavior under stress, transparency, and integrity. The goal is pattern detection, not compliments.

Reference checks are structured conversations with third parties to validate a manager’s claims and observe real behavior: decision discipline, transparency, conflict handling, and how the team performs in difficult moments. Strong allocators use references to test truthfulness and operating reality, not charisma.

References often decide edge cases because they reveal what data doesn’t: how reporting felt in a drawdown, how valuations were handled, and whether stakeholders trusted the team.

How allocators define reference-check risk drivers

Allocators evaluate:

  • Truthfulness: consistency between narrative and observed behavior
  • Transparency under stress: reporting when outcomes deteriorate
  • Decision discipline: walk-away behavior vs chasing
  • Team dynamics: who decides, how stable the team is
  • Governance & conflicts: allocation fairness, related-party behavior
  • Operational responsiveness: reliability and follow-through
  • Reputation patterns: repeated themes across independent sources

Allocator framing:
“Do independent sources converge on the same story—especially in stress?”

Where reference checks matter most

  • first-time relationships
  • emerging managers with limited institutional histories
  • strategies with high discretion and dispersion
  • situations where valuation/reporting trust is central

How reference checks change outcomes

Strong references:

  • increase conviction and speed IC comfort
  • reduce demand for heavy term protections
  • increase re-up probability

Weak references:

  • produce “soft no” outcomes (drift, delay)
  • trigger stricter side letters
  • raise reputational risk concerns

How allocators evaluate reference quality

Conviction increases when references are:

  • independent (not only manager-provided)
  • diverse (LPs, founders, co-investors, former employees)
  • specific (real examples, not generic praise)
  • stress-tested (down-cycle experiences)

What slows allocator decision-making

  • references that sound coached
  • inability to find independent corroboration
  • inconsistent stories across sources
  • lack of down-cycle examples

Common misconceptions

  • “References are a box check” → they often decide outcomes.
  • “Only LP references matter” → founders/co-investors can be more revealing.
  • “Good returns guarantee good references” → behavior and performance can diverge.

Key allocator questions during diligence

  • Who has worked with you through a down cycle—what happened?
  • How did reporting change when results deteriorated?
  • Were conflicts handled cleanly and consistently?
  • What is the consistent critique you hear about this team?
  • Who would re-up—and why?

Key Takeaways

  • References are a behavioral integrity test
  • Stress-period examples carry the most signal
  • Consistent corroboration accelerates conviction