OSINT

Warm Path Discovery

Systematically identifying the most credible introduction routes to target decision-makers through shared connections, affiliations, or trusted intermediaries.

Warm introductions dramatically outperform cold outreach (5-10x conversion rates)—discovering paths before outreach transforms fundraising efficiency.

Expanded Definition

Warm path discovery combines: LinkedIn connection analysis (1st/2nd degree paths), shared affiliations (alumni networks, industry groups), co-investor relationships (shared portfolio companies, syndicate participation), service provider overlap (shared lawyers, accountants, advisors), organizational connections (foundation boards, association memberships), and geographic proximity (same city, office building, industry cluster).

Path quality varies by: relationship strength (close colleague > casual acquaintance), relevance (investment relationship > social connection), recency (current > historical), and credibility (trusted advisor > weak link). Optimal paths use fewest hops with strongest relationships at each step.

Signals & Evidence

Warm path indicators:

  • LinkedIn analysis: 2nd-degree connections with relationship context (shared employer, school, group)
  • Co-investment patterns: Shared portfolio companies, syndicate memberships, co-LP positions
  • Shared affiliations: Same university, program, industry association, foundation board
  • Service provider overlap: Same lawyers, accountants, consultants, placement agents
  • Event co-attendance: Conference panels, speaking events, industry dinners
  • Geographic clustering: Same city, office building, or industry ecosystem

Decision Framework

  • Path prioritization: Rank by relationship strength, relevance, recency; pursue strongest paths first
  • Connector cultivation: Build relationships with well-positioned connectors before needing introductions
  • Introduction request timing: Provide connector with context (why you're qualified match) before asking for intro

Common Misconceptions

"Any introduction works" → Quality varies dramatically; weak connections often decline or damage credibility. "LinkedIn connections = warm intros" → Connection ≠ introduction willingness; assess relationship strength and relevance. "Direct is better than networked" → Trusted introducer provides credibility and filtering value cold approach lacks.

Key Takeaways

  • Warm paths use shared connections, co-investors, affiliations, and service providers to route introductions through trusted intermediaries
  • Path quality depends on relationship strength, relevance, and recency—not just connection existence
  • Discover paths before outreach to transform cold approach into relationship-based fundraising with higher conversion