Asset ManagerRIA · CRD 327520SEC-Registered

Updated:

Global Predictions

Global Predictions is a deep-tech company that has built a digital twin of the economy to make unbiased forecasts using hyperconnected simulations, economic...

Global Predictions

Global Predictions is a deep-tech company that has built a digital twin of the economy to make unbiased forecasts using hyperconnected simulations, economic modeling, diverse data streams, and machine learning. It offers a full-stack solution for investing insights and financial advice built on its proprietary Economic Insights Engine, including PortfolioPilot, a hybrid-AI personal financial coach for self-directed investors. The firm also provides PortfolioPilot Pro for family offices and a GP API for fintechs and institutions.

General information

Firm type

Asset Manager

Location

Region

North America

Country

United States

City

San Francisco

Principals

Alexander Harmsen

CEO & Co-Founder

Reid Hartman

Co-founder and Head of Quantitative Economics

Juliana Uto

Advisor

Lisa Kraynak

Advisor

Sector focus

AI/MLFinTech

Frequently asked questions

What did the SEC action against Global Predictions involve?

In March 2024 the SEC charged Global Predictions with making false and misleading claims about its use of artificial intelligence. The firm had referred to itself as the 'first regulated AI financial advisor' and described its risk forecasts as expert AI-driven analysis. The SEC found these statements to be materially false and misleading, and the firm agreed to a cease-and-desist order, a censure, and a $175,000 civil penalty (per the SEC, 2024).

What is the firm's actual service or platform?

Global Predictions offers a platform called PortfolioPilot, which provides portfolio analytics and a macro risk-scoring feature it labels the Economic Weather Index. The platform aggregates user holdings and assigns forward-looking risk scores based on economic scenarios. Post-settlement, the firm's marketing language has been adjusted to reflect regulatory constraints on AI-related claims.

Does Global Predictions manage institutional separate accounts?

There is no public record of Global Predictions operating institutional separate accounts, commingled funds, or bespoke mandates for family offices or pensions. The firm is registered as an investment adviser but its commercially available offering is a B2C subscription-based software product.

Where is Global Predictions based?

Public filings list a San Francisco, California address for the firm. It operates primarily in the United States.

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